IPL 2024 Playoffs Scenario: RCB Correct Score Must Beat CSK In Top 4

The Indian Premier League (IPL) 2024 playoff race took a dramatic turn on Sunday as Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) registered their 5th consecutive win of the season, defeating Delhi Capitals by 47 runs. The win did RCB a lot of good in the battle for a top-four finish, taking their points tally to 12 from 13 matches with a net strike rate of +0.387. RCB are next scheduled to face five-time champions Chennai Super Kings, and it could be a virtual knockout competition between the two teams, with the winner of the competition qualifying for the playoffs while the loser will be eliminated. (IPL 2024 Points Table)

The Super Kings are currently in 3rd place on the points table, with 7 wins from 13 matches. Their NRR stands at +0.528. Sunrisers Hyderabad, who have one more match in hand, have 14 points on the table with 7 wins from 12 matches. Their NRR stands at +0.406.

IPL 2024 Playoff Scenarios:

Sunrisers Hyderabad will next face Gujarat Titans and Punjab Kings in their campaign. A single win in either match could take them to the playoffs as they already have 14 points on the board and an impressive net run rate.

Lucknow Super Giants are also in contention, but they need their remaining two matches as the NRR is quite low at -0.769.

Gujarat Titans and Delhi Capitals are also mathematically in the race for the playoffs, but these two teams can get a maximum of 14 points in the league stage of the campaign. Given their lower NRR, it would hardly be possible for them to beat CSK, RCB, LSG or SRH in the top 4.

How RCB can qualify for the IPL 2024 playoffs:

RCB's best-case scenario is that SRH wins one or both of its matches to take third place in the points table and LSG fails to win more than one. The final place in the IPL 2024 playoffs would then depend on the match between CSK and RCB, with the competition turning into a virtual eliminator in the playoff race.

If it comes to this, RCB will surpass CSK's runs rate if they beat them by 18 runs or more (assuming the Faf du Plessis-led team scores 200 batting first). If RCB is given a target of 201, they will have to chase it with around 11 balls remaining.

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