MI 0%, GT 8%….KKR & RR 63%: All chances of IPL playoffs in 10 points | Cricket News


With 13 matches remaining in the league stage of initial loading In 2024, there remain nearly 8,200 possible combinations of match results. No one is sure yet to make the playoffs, but one team (MID) is completely excluded. We look at the chances of each team
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KKRThe team currently at the top of the table has a 36% chance of finishing at the top of the table, and they could do so even with just one win from their three remaining matches. Their chances of finishing at the top of the points standings are impressive: 62.5%. Yet they still aren't sure they'll make the playoffs. If they lose all their remaining matches, they could find themselves tied for fourth with CC or LSG based on results in other games. But there is only a 0.2% chance of such a scenario occurring.
FRLike KKR, they have a 36% chance of being alone in the lead at the end of the league stage and a 62.5% chance of being at least tied for first place on points. Yet they, too, are still unsure about making the playoffs. If they lose all of their remaining matches, they could find themselves tied for fourth place with DC or LSG depending on the results of the other matches. But there is only a 0.4% chance of such a scenario occurring.
SSRWednesday's thumping win over LSG propelled SRH to third in the table and improved their chances of making the top four, alone or jointly, from 72% to almost 94%. The best they can hope for is a joint first place with one to three other teams and the chances of achieving that are just under 5%.

CSKCurrently in third place, CSK have a little over 73% chance of finishing in the top four places, alone or jointly. Like SRH, the best they can do is tie for first place with one to three other teams. And the chances of that happening are only 4%.
CC – Currently in fifth place, DC has no chance of finishing the toppers or even the common toppers. Their chances of making the top four, alone or jointly, are just under 50%. Their best-case scenario is a tie for second place on points and there's just under a 4% chance of that happening.
LSG- Despite Wednesday's rout, LSG remains in sixth place. But their chances of making the top four, alone or jointly, have fallen from 70% to just under 50%. Like DC, the best they can do is tie for second place with one to three other teams. The chances of this happening are just under 4%.
RCBSeventh-placed RCB cannot hope to do better than tied for third or fourth and the odds of doing so are just over 8%.

PBKS- Punjab can also hope, at best, to place tied third or fourth and the chances of that happening are a little over 6%.
GTThe title holders find themselves at the bottom of the table and their chances of progression are slim, just under 8%.
MID- Currently ninth, but MI are now definitely out of the playoffs. None of the 8,192 possible combinations of match results can result in a better place than 5th place on points.
In short: Bet on KKR and RR making the playoffs and being joined by two of CSK, SRH, LSG and DC, with the former two having a significantly better chance. For any of the others to enter the mix would require a miracle.
How we calculate the odds
With 13 matches remaining, there are 8,192 possible combinations of match outcomes. We take a look at each of them and what it would mean in terms of the teams' final standings. Then we calculate the percentage of results that would give Team “A” a chance of finishing in the top four, or first place, and so on. The underlying assumption is that any given match is a 50-50 game, which is not unreasonable considering how the IPL has played out this year and in other years. For example, out of the 8,192 combinations, RR finishes as leader alone or jointly in 5,120 combinations, which means a 62.5% chance of reaching first place, alone or jointly.



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